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Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Ketlen Vieira won · U-DEC R5
Elo1515
Ketlen Vieira
Elo1495
Miesha Tate

Ketlen VieiravsMiesha TateUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Saturday, November 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ketlen Vieira won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupKetlen Vieira: Well-roundedvsMiesha Tate: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Miesha Tate wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Ketlen Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miesha Tate at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ketlen Vieira has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ketlen Vieira
Red Corner
VS
Miesha Tate
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1515
Elo
1495
34
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ketlen Vieira
oldest →
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23
L
vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24
W
vs Macy Chiasson · May 25
L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25
W
DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26
latest
Miesha Tate
oldest →
L
vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 16
W
KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22
W
SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23
L
vs Yana Santos · May 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ketlen VieiraMetricMiesha Tate
2.76
Strikes / min
2.62
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
50%
Strike defense
51%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
1.97
90%
Takedown defense
56%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.99evenly matched on net striking-0.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1541 vs 1534Strikes3.0 vs 2.6Takedowns1.5 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.60 vs 1.30Form-0.3 vs 0.9
Ketlen VieiraMiesha Tate

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)Miesha Tate(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +19.4|Blue -19.4
Recent Form
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ketlen VieiraTargetMiesha Tate

By target zone

95
39% acc · 84%
Head
52
30% acc · 43%
14
88% acc · 12%
Body
60
68% acc · 49%
4
100% acc · 4%
Leg
10
77% acc · 8%

By position

105
41% acc · 93%
Distance
110
42% acc · 90%
8
89% acc · 7%
Clinch
12
75% acc · 10%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ketlen Vieira rounds
1
even
3
Miesha Tate rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 2Ketlen Vieira edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 4Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:02
31Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:34Control
Round 5Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
113 / 263
Sig Strikes
122 / 276
42.4%
Sig Str %
43.2%
156 / 313
Total Strikes
145 / 302
0 / 1
TDs
1 / 6
0%
TD %
12.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
2:52

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Miesha Tate13 / 3816 / 410 / 00
1Ketlen Vieira14 / 3818 / 440 / 10
2Miesha Tate21 / 5421 / 540 / 20
2Ketlen Vieira29 / 5429 / 540 / 00
3Miesha Tate24 / 5726 / 590 / 10
3Ketlen Vieira20 / 5528 / 630 / 00
4Ketlen Vieira20 / 4350 / 780 / 00
4Miesha Tate31 / 5444 / 701 / 20
5Miesha Tate33 / 7338 / 780 / 10
5Ketlen Vieira30 / 7331 / 740 / 00

Ketlen Vieira

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14

Miesha Tate

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14