Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ketlen Souza has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ketlen Souza
oldest →W
SUBvs Yazmin Jauregui · Sep 24L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Aug 25W
vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 26 Ariane Carnelossi
oldest →W
SUBvs Istela Nunes · Oct 21L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 22W
vs Piera Rodriguez · May 24L
SUBvs Talita Alencar · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ketlen SouzaMetricAriane Carnelossi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.15Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-1.98
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ketlen Souza(7 fights)Ariane Carnelossi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +46.2|Blue -46.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ketlen SouzaTargetAriane Carnelossi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ariane Carnelossi rounds
Round 1Ketlen Souza edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
