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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kenny Robertson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1358
Kenny Robertson
Elo1492
Sultan Aliev

Kenny RobertsonvsSultan AlievUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · Saturday, January 24, 2015Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Kenny Robertson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:42

Model Prediction: Kenny Robertson wins(65.7%)

Actual result: Kenny Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kenny Robertson at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sultan Aliev has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kenny Robertson
Red Corner
VS
Sultan Aliev
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
1358
Elo
1492
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kenny RobertsonL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Sean Pierson · Jun 13
W
SUBvs Thiago Perpetuo · Mar 14
W
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Jul 14
L
vs Ben Saunders · Jul 15
L
vs Roan Carneiro · Sep 16
latest
Sultan Aliev
oldest →
W
vs Bojan Velickovic · Dec 16
L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 18
W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kenny RobertsonMetricSultan Aliev
3.72
Strikes / min
1.41
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.20
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
1.76
57%
Takedown defense
100%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.70Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1510 vs 1500Strikes32.3 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts0.83 vs —Form0.6 vs 0.0
Kenny RobertsonSultan Aliev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Kenny Robertson(9 fights)Sultan Aliev(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -133.6|Blue +133.6
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kenny RobertsonTargetSultan Aliev

By target zone

8
32% acc · 57%
Head
5
45% acc · 63%
2
50% acc · 14%
Body
3
100% acc · 38%
4
100% acc · 29%
Leg
0

By position

10
36% acc · 71%
Distance
6
55% acc · 75%
2
67% acc · 14%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 25%
2
100% acc · 14%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kenny Robertson rounds
0
even
0
Sultan Aliev rounds
Round 1Kenny Robertson edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:29
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
14 / 33
Sig Strikes
8 / 14
42%
Sig Str %
57%
14 / 33
Total Strikes
8 / 14
0 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:29
Ctrl Time
0:22

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sultan Aliev8 / 148 / 140 / 00
1Kenny Robertson14 / 3314 / 330 / 30

Kenny Robertson

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9

Sultan Aliev

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4