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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Ben Saunders won · S-DEC R3

Elo1358

Elo1379

Kenny RobertsonvsBen SaundersUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · Saturday, July 25, 2015Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Ben Saunders won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKenny Robertson: Well-roundedvsBen Saunders: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Kenny Robertson wins(61.8%)

Actual result: Ben Saunders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kenny Robertson at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ben Saunders enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Kenny Robertson

Red Corner

Ben Saunders

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1358

Elo

1379

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kenny Robertson

oldest →

vs Sean Pierson · Jun 13

SUBvs Thiago Perpetuo · Mar 14

vs Ildemar Alcantara · Jul 14

KOvs Sultan Aliev · Jan 15

vs Roan Carneiro · Sep 16

latest

Ben SaundersL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18

SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18

KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18

KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19

KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kenny RobertsonMetricBen Saunders

3.72

Strikes / min

3.23

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

52%

Strike defense

51%

1.37

TDs / 15 min

0.20

57%

Takedown defense

66%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.70Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kenny RobertsonBen Saunders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kenny Robertson(9 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -20.8|Blue +20.8

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kenny RobertsonTargetBen Saunders

By target zone

42% acc · 71%

Head

41% acc · 62%

70% acc · 8%

Body

60% acc · 31%

95% acc · 21%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

47% acc · 81%

Distance

45% acc · 74%

65% acc · 16%

Clinch

57% acc · 16%

29% acc · 2%

Ground

75% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kenny Robertson rounds

even

Ben Saunders rounds

Round 1Kenny Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control2:10

Knockdowns1

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Kenny Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes61

Takedowns0

Control0:29

48Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ben Saunders edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control3:42

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

91 / 186

Sig Strikes

98 / 204

42%

Sig Str %

47.7%

98 / 195

Total Strikes

172 / 284

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:21

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ben Saunders	28 / 64	31 / 67	0 / 0
1	Kenny Robertson	24 / 54	28 / 60	1 / 2
2	Ben Saunders	48 / 96	54 / 103	0 / 0
2	Kenny Robertson	61 / 111	61 / 111	0 / 0
3	Ben Saunders	22 / 44	87 / 114	0 / 0
3	Kenny Robertson	6 / 21	9 / 24	1 / 1

Kenny Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Ben Saunders

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14