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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Kenny Florian won · SUB R3

Elo1490

Elo1362

Kenny FlorianvsTakanori GomiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · Wednesday, March 31, 2010Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Kenny Florian won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:52

Style matchupKenny Florian: WrestlervsTakanori Gomi: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kenny Florian wins(78.1%)

Actual result: Kenny Florian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kenny Florian at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Takanori Gomi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Kenny Florian threatens submissions; Takanori Gomi has lost 44% of fights by sub.
Kenny Florian has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kenny Florian

Red Corner

Takanori Gomi

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1490

Elo

1362

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kenny Florian

oldest →

vs Gray Maynard · Aug 10

vs Diego Nunes · Jun 11

vs Jose Aldo · Oct 11

latest

Takanori GomiL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15

KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16

SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kenny FlorianMetricTakanori Gomi

2.41

Strikes / min

3.81

1.85

Strikes absorbed / min

3.52

63%

Strike defense

60%

2.22

TDs / 15 min

1.23

60%

Takedown defense

63%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.56evenly matched on net striking+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kenny FlorianTakanori Gomi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kenny Florian(4 fights)Takanori Gomi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +128.3|Blue -128.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kenny FlorianTargetTakanori Gomi

By target zone

23% acc · 78%

Head

13% acc · 55%

86% acc · 12%

Body

32% acc · 45%

71% acc · 10%

Leg

0% acc

By position

24% acc · 82%

Distance

17% acc · 100%

60% acc · 6%

Clinch

0% acc

67% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kenny Florian rounds

even

Takanori Gomi rounds

Round 1Kenny Florian edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Kenny Florian edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Kenny Florian edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:45

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 186

Sig Strikes

20 / 116

30.3%

Sig Str %

14%

74 / 210

Total Strikes

20 / 116

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:45

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Takanori Gomi	6 / 40	6 / 40	0 / 1	0
1	Kenny Florian	21 / 86	21 / 86	0 / 0	0
2	Takanori Gomi	13 / 60	13 / 60	0 / 0	0
2	Kenny Florian	20 / 76	20 / 76	0 / 0	0
3	Takanori Gomi	1 / 16	1 / 16	0 / 0	0
3	Kenny Florian	10 / 24	33 / 48	1 / 2	1

Kenny Florian

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13