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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Valter Walker won · SUB R1

Elo1504

Elo1576

Kennedy NzechukwuvsValter WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Saturday, July 12, 2025Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Valter Walker won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:54

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsValter Walker: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Valter Walker wins(83.3%)

Actual result: Valter Walker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Valter Walker at +186 American odds

+$186 profit

$286 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Valter Walker enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Red Corner

Valter Walker

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+186

(35%)

1504

Elo

1576

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'6"

210.82 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 23

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Valter WalkerW4 streak

oldest →

vs Lukasz Brzeski · Apr 24

SUBvs Junior Tafa · Aug 24

SUBvs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 25

SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25

SUBvs Thomas Petersen · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricValter Walker

4.96

Strikes / min

2.00

4.58

Strikes absorbed / min

2.85

51%

Strike defense

42%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

5.74

80%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

2.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.38Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kennedy NzechukwuValter Walker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Valter Walker(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -71.6|Blue +71.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetValter Walker

By target zone

Head

36% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

Distance

25% acc · 25%

Clinch

43% acc · 75%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

even

Valter Walker rounds

Round 1Valter Walker edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:03

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:28Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 0

Sig Strikes

4 / 11

—

Sig Str %

36%

0 / 0

Total Strikes

4 / 11

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Valter Walker	4 / 11	4 / 11	1 / 2	1
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	0 / 0	0 / 0	0 / 0	0

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15

Valter Walker

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6