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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Draw won · U-DEC R3
Elo1504
Elo1462
Marcus Buchecha

Kennedy NzechukwuvsMarcus BuchechaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · Saturday, December 13, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Draw

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsMarcus Buchecha: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kennedy Nzechukwu has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
  • Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu
Red Corner
VS
Marcus Buchecha
Blue Corner
-126
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+108
(48%)
1504
Elo
1462
34
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'2"
210.82 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu
oldest →
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 23
L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24
W
KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24
W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24
L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25
latest
Marcus BuchechaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Martin Buday · Jul 25
L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricMarcus Buchecha
4.96
Strikes / min
1.59
4.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.15
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
2.02
80%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.38evenly matched on net striking-0.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1489Strikes5.0 vs 1.7Takedowns0.5 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -0.9
Kennedy NzechukwuMarcus Buchecha

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501470149015101530← oldermost recent →
Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Marcus Buchecha(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +42.1|Blue -42.1
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetMarcus Buchecha

By target zone

21
49% acc · 88%
Head
23
61% acc · 85%
3
60% acc · 13%
Body
4
67% acc · 15%
0
Leg
0

By position

13
41% acc · 54%
Distance
2
17% acc · 7%
2
100% acc · 8%
Clinch
2
50% acc · 7%
9
64% acc · 38%
Ground
23
82% acc · 85%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds
0
even
2
Marcus Buchecha rounds
Round 1Marcus Buchecha edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:38
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:22Control
Round 2Marcus Buchecha edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:10
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:39Control
Round 3Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control2:49
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
24 / 48
Sig Strikes
27 / 44
51.3%
Sig Str %
46.5%
58 / 87
Total Strikes
47 / 66
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 13
—
TD %
24%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:37
Ctrl Time
6:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Marcus Buchecha2 / 93 / 102 / 90
1Kennedy Nzechukwu9 / 1823 / 320 / 00
2Marcus Buchecha25 / 3540 / 521 / 20
2Kennedy Nzechukwu7 / 187 / 180 / 00
3Marcus Buchecha0 / 04 / 40 / 20
3Kennedy Nzechukwu8 / 1228 / 370 / 00

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights15

Marcus Buchecha

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3