Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Kennedy Nzechukwu won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1504

Elo1429

Kennedy NzechukwuvsKarl RobersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Saturday, July 9, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:19

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Karl Roberson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Red Corner

Karl Roberson

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1504

Elo

1429

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'5"

Height

6'1"

210.82 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Karl RobersonL3 streak

oldest →

vs Wellington Turman · Jul 19

SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19

SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21

KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricKarl Roberson

4.96

Strikes / min

2.57

4.58

Strikes absorbed / min

2.42

51%

Strike defense

57%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.72

80%

Takedown defense

40%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.38evenly matched on net striking+0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kennedy NzechukwuKarl Roberson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +75.5|Blue -75.5

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetKarl Roberson

By target zone

49% acc · 90%

Head

31% acc · 44%

33% acc · 10%

Body

80% acc · 44%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

14% acc · 15%

Distance

47% acc · 100%

Clinch

81% acc · 85%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

even

Karl Roberson rounds

Round 1Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns2

Control4:16

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 2Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control4:41

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:49

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 43

Sig Strikes

9 / 19

39.3%

Sig Str %

46%

64 / 114

Total Strikes

16 / 26

5 / 7

TDs

0 / 3

83.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

10:46

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Karl Roberson	1 / 2	8 / 9	0 / 3	0
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	3 / 8	9 / 17	2 / 4	0
2	Karl Roberson	6 / 10	6 / 10	0 / 0	0
2	Kennedy Nzechukwu	2 / 7	39 / 66	2 / 2	0
3	Karl Roberson	2 / 7	2 / 7	0 / 0	0
3	Kennedy Nzechukwu	15 / 28	16 / 31	1 / 1	1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15

Karl Roberson

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10