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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Kennedy Nzechukwu won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1504
Elo1498
Ion Cutelaba

Kennedy NzechukwuvsIon CutelabaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Saturday, November 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:02

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsIon Cutelaba: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -195 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu
Red Corner
VS
Ion Cutelaba
Blue Corner
-195
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
1504
Elo
1498
34
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'5"
Height
6'1"
210.82 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu
oldest →
L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24
W
KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24
W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24
L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25
D
vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25
latest
Ion Cutelaba
oldest →
W
vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24
W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25
L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25
W
SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26
L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricIon Cutelaba
4.96
Strikes / min
4.23
4.58
Strikes absorbed / min
3.28
51%
Strike defense
47%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
3.76
80%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.38evenly matched on net striking+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1481Strikes5.1 vs 4.4Takedowns0.6 vs 4.2Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -0.7
Kennedy NzechukwuIon Cutelaba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +6.5|Blue -6.5
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetIon Cutelaba

By target zone

22
55% acc · 92%
Head
7
30% acc · 78%
2
100% acc · 8%
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 22%

By position

15
47% acc · 63%
Distance
8
33% acc · 89%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
9
90% acc · 38%
Ground
1
100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds
0
even
1
Ion Cutelaba rounds
Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control1:07
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:32Control
Round 2Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
24 / 42
Sig Strikes
9 / 26
47%
Sig Str %
51.5%
24 / 42
Total Strikes
30 / 57
0 / 1
TDs
2 / 8
0%
TD %
16.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:14
Ctrl Time
3:32

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ion Cutelaba5 / 626 / 372 / 60
1Kennedy Nzechukwu2 / 62 / 60 / 10
2Ion Cutelaba4 / 204 / 200 / 20
2Kennedy Nzechukwu22 / 3622 / 360 / 00

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights15

Ion Cutelaba

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights20