Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Kennedy Nzechukwu won · SUB R2

Elo1504

Elo1496

Kennedy NzechukwuvsDevin ClarkUFC Prediction Result

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · Saturday, May 6, 2023Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:28

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsDevin Clark: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(70.9%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -184 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kennedy Nzechukwu has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Red Corner

Devin Clark

Blue Corner

-184

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+154

(39%)

1504

Elo

1496

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'0"

210.82 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Devin Clark

oldest →

vs Ion Cutelaba · Sep 21

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricDevin Clark

4.96

Strikes / min

3.03

4.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.24

51%

Strike defense

44%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

2.17

80%

Takedown defense

58%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.38evenly matched on net striking-0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kennedy NzechukwuDevin Clark

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Devin Clark(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.2|Blue -8.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetDevin Clark

By target zone

70% acc · 71%

Head

54% acc · 69%

100% acc · 29%

Body

88% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

53% acc · 15%

Distance

46% acc · 36%

83% acc · 85%

Clinch

77% acc · 64%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

even

Devin Clark rounds

Round 1Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control2:35

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control1:07

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 81

Sig Strikes

36 / 58

76%

Sig Str %

59.5%

79 / 98

Total Strikes

61 / 90

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 4

TD %

16.5%

Sub Att

Rev

3:42

Ctrl Time

1:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Devin Clark	25 / 37	47 / 65	1 / 3	0
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	41 / 53	54 / 66	0 / 1	0
2	Devin Clark	11 / 21	14 / 25	0 / 1	0
2	Kennedy Nzechukwu	21 / 28	25 / 32	0 / 0	1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17