Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Kennedy Nzechukwu won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1504

Elo1417

Kennedy NzechukwuvsDanilo MarquesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 26, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:20

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsDanilo Marques: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(59.6%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -136 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kennedy Nzechukwu is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Danilo Marques has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Red Corner

Danilo Marques

Blue Corner

-136

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1504

Elo

1417

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'6"

210.82 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Danilo Marques

oldest →

vs Khadis Ibragimov · Sep 20

SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Feb 21

KOvs Jailton Almeida · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricDanilo Marques

4.96

Strikes / min

1.44

4.58

Strikes absorbed / min

2.52

51%

Strike defense

52%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

3.93

80%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.38Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-1.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kennedy NzechukwuDanilo Marques

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Danilo Marques(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +86.6|Blue -86.6

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetDanilo Marques

By target zone

37% acc · 90%

Head

46% acc · 60%

75% acc · 10%

Body

80% acc · 40%

Leg

By position

39% acc · 100%

Distance

56% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

even

Danilo Marques rounds

Round 1Danilo Marques edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:55Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:47Control

Round 3Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 80

Sig Strikes

10 / 18

39.5%

Sig Str %

36.7%

31 / 80

Total Strikes

34 / 60

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 12

—

TD %

54.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

7:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Danilo Marques	0 / 1	22 / 40	1 / 1
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	0 / 0	0 / 0	0 / 0
2	Danilo Marques	9 / 15	11 / 18	1 / 11
2	Kennedy Nzechukwu	16 / 47	16 / 47	0 / 0
3	Danilo Marques	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 0
3	Kennedy Nzechukwu	15 / 33	15 / 33	0 / 0

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15

Danilo Marques

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4