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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Kennedy Nzechukwu won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1504

Elo1483

Kennedy NzechukwuvsChris BarnettUFC Prediction Result

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Saturday, October 26, 2024Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:27

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsChris Barnett: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(82.6%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -800 American odds

+$13 profit

$113 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kennedy Nzechukwu has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Red Corner

Chris Barnett

Blue Corner

-800

(89%)

Vegas Odds

+550

(15%)

1504

Elo

1483

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

5'9"

210.82 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 23

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Chris Barnett

oldest →

SUBvs Ben Rothwell · May 21

KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 21

vs Martin Buday · Apr 22

KOvs Jake Collier · Sep 22

vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricChris Barnett

4.96

Strikes / min

3.36

4.58

Strikes absorbed / min

6.55

51%

Strike defense

36%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.00

80%

Takedown defense

35%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.38Δ 3.57 — meaningful gap-3.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kennedy NzechukwuChris Barnett

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Chris Barnett(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -553.0|Blue +553.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetChris Barnett

By target zone

56% acc · 55%

Head

14% acc · 25%

96% acc · 43%

Body

67% acc · 17%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

78% acc · 58%

By position

68% acc · 98%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

even

Chris Barnett rounds

Round 1Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 74

Sig Strikes

12 / 34

68%

Sig Str %

35%

51 / 74

Total Strikes

12 / 34

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Barnett	12 / 34	12 / 34	0 / 1	0
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	51 / 74	51 / 74	0 / 0	0

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15

Chris Barnett

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6