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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Kennedy Nzechukwu won · KO/TKO

Elo1504

Elo1573

Kennedy NzechukwuvsCarlos UlbergUFC Prediction Result

UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Saturday, March 6, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

KO/TKO

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsCarlos Ulberg: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at +190 American odds

+$190 profit

$290 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Red Corner

Carlos Ulberg

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1504

Elo

1573

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'4"

210.82 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Carlos UlbergW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24

vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricCarlos Ulberg

4.96

Strikes / min

6.57

4.58

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

51%

Strike defense

51%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.53

80%

Takedown defense

85%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.38Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap+2.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kennedy NzechukwuCarlos Ulberg

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -68.6|Blue +68.6

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetCarlos Ulberg

By target zone

56% acc · 99%

Head

101

58% acc · 69%

25% acc · 1%

Body

84% acc · 21%

Leg

93% acc · 10%

By position

55% acc · 88%

Distance

132

63% acc · 90%

38% acc · 4%

Clinch

82% acc · 10%

88% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

even

Carlos Ulberg rounds

Round 1Carlos Ulberg edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

83Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Carlos Ulberg edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

63Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

82 / 148

Sig Strikes

146 / 227

54.5%

Sig Str %

63.5%

84 / 150

Total Strikes

146 / 227

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Carlos Ulberg	83 / 120	83 / 120	0 / 0
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	38 / 72	40 / 74	0 / 1
2	Carlos Ulberg	63 / 107	63 / 107	0 / 0
2	Kennedy Nzechukwu	44 / 76	44 / 76	0 / 0

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15

Carlos Ulberg

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights10