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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Tim Boetsch won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1371

Kendall GrovevsTim BoetschUFC Prediction Result

UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · Saturday, May 28, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tim Boetsch won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tim Boetsch wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Tim Boetsch wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tim Boetsch at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kendall Grove has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kendall Grove

Red Corner

Tim Boetsch

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1351

Elo

1371

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'6"

Height

6'0"

200.66 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kendall Grove

oldest →

KOvs Mark Munoz · Apr 10

vs Goran Reljic · Jul 10

vs Demian Maia · Dec 10

latest

Tim BoetschL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16

SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17

KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17

SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18

vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kendall GroveMetricTim Boetsch

2.31

Strikes / min

2.93

2.40

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

54%

Strike defense

57%

0.49

TDs / 15 min

1.45

56%

Takedown defense

59%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kendall GroveTim Boetsch

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kendall Grove(4 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -20.3|Blue +20.3

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kendall GroveTargetTim Boetsch

By target zone

5% acc · 5%

Head

57% acc · 24%

100% acc · 60%

Body

80% acc · 47%

58% acc · 35%

Leg

100% acc · 29%

By position

22% acc · 35%

Distance

55% acc · 35%

100% acc · 60%

Clinch

100% acc · 47%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kendall Grove rounds

even

Tim Boetsch rounds

Round 1Tim Boetsch edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:38

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:06Control

Round 2Tim Boetsch edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:32

5Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:26Control

Round 3Tim Boetsch edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:38

4Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:29Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 45

Sig Strikes

17 / 22

41.3%

Sig Str %

81%

68 / 95

Total Strikes

90 / 111

1 / 3

TDs

7 / 14

50%

TD %

57.7%

Sub Att

Rev

1:48

Ctrl Time

10:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tim Boetsch	8 / 9	33 / 39	2 / 5
1	Kendall Grove	12 / 22	32 / 43	0 / 2
2	Tim Boetsch	5 / 9	33 / 41	3 / 3
2	Kendall Grove	5 / 15	20 / 30	0 / 0
3	Tim Boetsch	4 / 4	24 / 31	2 / 6
3	Kendall Grove	3 / 8	16 / 22	1 / 1

Kendall Grove

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4

Tim Boetsch

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights20