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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kendall Grove won · S-DEC R3
Elo1351
Elo1351

Kendall GrovevsGoran ReljicUFC Prediction Result

UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · Saturday, July 3, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kendall Grove won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Goran Reljic wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Kendall Grove wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Goran Reljic at -140 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kendall Grove enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Kendall Grove has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Goran Reljic (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Kendall Grove
Red Corner
VS
Goran Reljic
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
1351
Elo
1351
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'6"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kendall GroveL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Mark Munoz · Apr 10
L
vs Demian Maia · Dec 10
L
vs Tim Boetsch · May 11
latest
Goran Reljic
oldest →
L
vs Krzysztof Soszynski · Nov 10
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kendall GroveMetricGoran Reljic
2.31
Strikes / min
1.69
2.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.69
54%
Strike defense
59%
0.49
TDs / 15 min
1.69
56%
Takedown defense
33%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.09evenly matched on net striking-1.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes19.7 vs 26.5Takedowns0.3 vs 0.5Sub Atts1.60 vs 1.50Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Kendall GroveGoran Reljic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Kendall Grove(4 fights)Goran Reljic(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kendall GroveTargetGoran Reljic

By target zone

17
23% acc · 61%
Head
2
5% acc · 14%
8
80% acc · 29%
Body
6
67% acc · 43%
3
75% acc · 11%
Leg
6
60% acc · 43%

By position

9
15% acc · 32%
Distance
9
21% acc · 64%
15
79% acc · 54%
Clinch
3
60% acc · 21%
4
50% acc · 14%
Ground
2
22% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kendall Grove rounds
1
even
1
Goran Reljic rounds
Round 1Kendall Grove edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:22Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:24
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:11Control
Round 3Goran Reljic edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:12Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
28 / 89
Sig Strikes
14 / 56
30%
Sig Str %
27.3%
83 / 146
Total Strikes
27 / 73
1 / 1
TDs
3 / 5
100%
TD %
75%
1
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
1
0:27
Ctrl Time
6:45

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Goran Reljic6 / 316 / 311 / 10
1Kendall Grove14 / 3818 / 420 / 00
2Goran Reljic5 / 1517 / 310 / 01
2Kendall Grove6 / 2147 / 641 / 10
3Goran Reljic3 / 104 / 112 / 40
3Kendall Grove8 / 3018 / 400 / 01

Kendall Grove

StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4

Goran Reljic

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights2