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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Demian Maia won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1402

Kendall GrovevsDemian MaiaUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · Saturday, December 4, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Demian Maia won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Kendall Grove wins(64.0%)

Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kendall Grove at +265 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Kendall Grove has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kendall Grove

Red Corner

Demian Maia

Blue Corner

+265

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-295

(75%)

1351

Elo

1402

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'6"

Height

6'1"

200.66 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kendall Grove

oldest →

KOvs Mark Munoz · Apr 10

vs Goran Reljic · Jul 10

vs Tim Boetsch · May 11

latest

Demian MaiaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19

DECvs Rocco Martin · Jun 19

SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19

KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20

vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kendall GroveMetricDemian Maia

2.31

Strikes / min

1.80

2.40

Strikes absorbed / min

2.07

54%

Strike defense

63%

0.49

TDs / 15 min

2.49

56%

Takedown defense

61%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kendall GroveDemian Maia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kendall Grove(4 fights)Demian Maia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -51.4|Blue +51.4

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kendall GroveTargetDemian Maia

By target zone

26% acc · 94%

Head

45% acc · 69%

100% acc · 6%

Body

92% acc · 26%

0% acc

Leg

67% acc · 5%

By position

21% acc · 72%

Distance

30% acc · 29%

80% acc · 22%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

78% acc · 69%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kendall Grove rounds

even

Demian Maia rounds

Round 1Demian Maia edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:31Control

Round 2Demian Maia edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:37Control

Round 3Demian Maia edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 68

Sig Strikes

42 / 79

27.3%

Sig Str %

53.7%

50 / 106

Total Strikes

71 / 111

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 13

—

TD %

36%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

8:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Demian Maia	22 / 37	33 / 48	3 / 4	1
1	Kendall Grove	6 / 16	9 / 19	0 / 0	0
2	Demian Maia	11 / 16	29 / 37	2 / 6	0
2	Kendall Grove	4 / 18	11 / 27	0 / 0	0
3	Demian Maia	9 / 26	9 / 26	0 / 3	0
3	Kendall Grove	8 / 34	30 / 60	0 / 0	0

Kendall Grove

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4

Demian Maia

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights26