Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Erik Perez won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1491

Ken StonevsErik PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · Saturday, August 11, 2012Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Erik Perez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:17

Style matchupKen Stone: Well-roundedvsErik Perez: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ken Stone wins(59.1%)

Actual result: Erik Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ken Stone at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Erik Perez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ken Stone threatens submissions; Erik Perez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Erik Perez has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Ken Stone

Red Corner

Erik Perez

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-165

(62%)

1490

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ken StoneW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Scott Jorgensen · Jun 11

SUBvs Donny Walker · Sep 11

vs Dustin Pague · Jun 12

latest

Erik PerezW3 streak

oldest →

vs Edwin Figueroa · Nov 13

SUBvs Bryan Caraway · Jun 14

vs Taylor Lapilus · Nov 15

vs Francisco Rivera · Jul 16

vs Felipe Arantes · Nov 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ken StoneMetricErik Perez

3.85

Strikes / min

3.16

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

2.09

48%

Strike defense

66%

1.24

TDs / 15 min

3.16

60%

Takedown defense

69%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95evenly matched on net striking+1.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ken StoneErik Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ken Stone(4 fights)Erik Perez(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ken StoneTargetErik Perez

By target zone

50% acc · 50%

Head

78% acc · 78%

100% acc · 50%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

67% acc · 100%

Distance

60% acc · 33%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ken Stone rounds

even

Erik Perez rounds

Round 1Erik Perez edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 3

Sig Strikes

9 / 11

66%

Sig Str %

81%

2 / 3

Total Strikes

9 / 11

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Erik Perez	9 / 11	9 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Ken Stone	2 / 3	2 / 3	0 / 0	0

Ken Stone

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Erik Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights9