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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ketlen Vieira won · S-DEC R3

Elo1358

Elo1515

Kelly FaszholzvsKetlen VieiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Saturday, October 1, 2016Portland, Oregon, USA

Official fight result

Ketlen Vieira won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKelly Faszholz: Pressure fightervsKetlen Vieira: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Kelly Faszholz wins(57.4%)

Actual result: Ketlen Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kelly Faszholz at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ketlen Vieira has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kelly Faszholz

Red Corner

Ketlen Vieira

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1358

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kelly Faszholz

oldest →

KOvs Lauren Murphy · Feb 16

latest

Ketlen Vieira

oldest →

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23

vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24

vs Macy Chiasson · May 25

vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25

DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kelly FaszholzMetricKetlen Vieira

4.01

Strikes / min

2.76

3.61

Strikes absorbed / min

3.75

52%

Strike defense

50%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.33

44%

Takedown defense

90%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kelly FaszholzKetlen Vieira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kelly Faszholz(2 fights)Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -156.5|Blue +156.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kelly FaszholzTargetKetlen Vieira

By target zone

33% acc · 59%

Head

20% acc · 85%

67% acc · 32%

Body

100% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

38% acc · 68%

Distance

24% acc · 92%

61% acc · 25%

Clinch

0% acc

43% acc · 7%

Ground

33% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kelly Faszholz rounds

even

Ketlen Vieira rounds

Round 1Ketlen Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:19

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:05Control

Round 2Ketlen Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

2Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:05Control

Round 3Kelly Faszholz edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:26

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:12Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 104

Sig Strikes

13 / 57

44.7%

Sig Str %

22.3%

113 / 178

Total Strikes

67 / 120

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 6

TD %

77.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:45

Ctrl Time

8:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ketlen Vieira	4 / 14	30 / 45	1 / 1
1	Kelly Faszholz	8 / 14	32 / 39	0 / 1
2	Ketlen Vieira	2 / 19	24 / 44	2 / 2
2	Kelly Faszholz	11 / 32	35 / 57	0 / 0
3	Ketlen Vieira	7 / 24	13 / 31	1 / 3
3	Kelly Faszholz	25 / 58	46 / 82	0 / 0

Kelly Faszholz

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Ketlen Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14