Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chris Clements won · S-DEC R3
Elo1352
Keith Wisniewski
Elo1490
Chris Clements

Keith WisniewskivsChris ClementsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · Saturday, April 21, 2012Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Chris Clements won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Keith Wisniewski wins(58.0%)

Actual result: Chris Clements wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Keith Wisniewski at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Keith Wisniewski has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Keith Wisniewski has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Keith Wisniewski
Red Corner
VS
Chris Clements
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
1352
Elo
1490
44
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Keith WisniewskiL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Josh Neer · Oct 11
L
vs Ivan Jorge · Sep 13
latest
Chris Clements
oldest →
L
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Sep 13
W
KOvs Vik Grujic · Nov 14
L
vs Nordine Taleb · Apr 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Keith WisniewskiMetricChris Clements
2.32
Strikes / min
3.20
4.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.37
42%
Strike defense
44%
1.57
TDs / 15 min
0.00
78%
Takedown defense
32%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.54Δ 3.37 — meaningful gap+0.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes27.5 vs —Takedowns1.5 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Keith WisniewskiChris Clements

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Keith Wisniewski(3 fights)Chris Clements(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -138.0|Blue +138.0
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Keith WisniewskiTargetChris Clements

By target zone

26
60% acc · 93%
Head
38
45% acc · 56%
2
67% acc · 7%
Body
14
67% acc · 21%
0
Leg
16
94% acc · 24%

By position

18
51% acc · 64%
Distance
49
49% acc · 72%
0
Clinch
8
73% acc · 12%
10
91% acc · 36%
Ground
11
85% acc · 16%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Keith Wisniewski rounds
0
even
2
Chris Clements rounds
Round 1Chris Clements edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:12
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Keith Wisniewski edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control2:53
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 3Chris Clements edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:46
Knockdowns0
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
2
28 / 46
Sig Strikes
68 / 123
60.3%
Sig Str %
54%
44 / 65
Total Strikes
86 / 144
3 / 6
TDs
0 / 2
50%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:51
Ctrl Time
1:34

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chris Clements17 / 2922 / 350 / 00
1Keith Wisniewski14 / 1915 / 211 / 20
2Chris Clements14 / 2922 / 380 / 10
2Keith Wisniewski9 / 1224 / 292 / 21
3Chris Clements37 / 6542 / 710 / 10
3Keith Wisniewski5 / 155 / 150 / 20

Keith Wisniewski

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights3

Chris Clements

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4