Skip to content
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Yui Chul Nam won · S-DEC R3
Elo1354
Elo1356
Yui Chul Nam

Kazuki TokudomevsYui Chul NamUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · Saturday, March 1, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Yui Chul Nam won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKazuki Tokudome: WrestlervsYui Chul Nam: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kazuki Tokudome wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Yui Chul Nam wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kazuki Tokudome at +185 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kazuki Tokudome has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Kazuki Tokudome (53.5%).
  • Kazuki Tokudome has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kazuki Tokudome
Red Corner
VS
Yui Chul Nam
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1354
Elo
1356
39
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kazuki TokudomeL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Cristiano Marcello · Mar 13
L
vs Norman Parke · Jul 13
L
SUBvs Johnny Case · Sep 14
latest
Yui Chul NamL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Phillipe Nover · May 15
L
vs Mike de la Torre · Nov 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kazuki TokudomeMetricYui Chul Nam
2.26
Strikes / min
3.53
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.00
53%
Strike defense
48%
2.00
TDs / 15 min
1.33
78%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.37Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes38.0 vs Takedowns1.5 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form-0.2 vs 0.0
Kazuki TokudomeYui Chul Nam

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Kazuki Tokudome(4 fights)Yui Chul Nam(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kazuki TokudomeTargetYui Chul Nam

By target zone

28
54% acc · 90%
Head
63
57% acc · 82%
2
100% acc · 6%
Body
10
71% acc · 13%
1
100% acc · 3%
Leg
4
80% acc · 5%

By position

5
31% acc · 16%
Distance
17
49% acc · 22%
12
52% acc · 39%
Clinch
37
63% acc · 48%
14
88% acc · 45%
Ground
23
64% acc · 30%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kazuki Tokudome rounds
1
even
1
Yui Chul Nam rounds
Round 1Yui Chul Nam edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:23
Knockdowns0
60Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:20Control
3Knockdowns
Round 2Kazuki Tokudome edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control4:41
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control2:38
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:34Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
3
31 / 55
Sig Strikes
77 / 130
56.3%
Sig Str %
59.3%
131 / 174
Total Strikes
109 / 173
3 / 7
TDs
1 / 1
50%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
7:42
Ctrl Time
4:54

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yui Chul Nam60 / 10078 / 1250 / 00
1Kazuki Tokudome11 / 2311 / 230 / 20
2Yui Chul Nam6 / 911 / 150 / 00
2Kazuki Tokudome14 / 17104 / 1241 / 10
3Yui Chul Nam11 / 2120 / 331 / 10
3Kazuki Tokudome6 / 1516 / 272 / 40

Kazuki Tokudome

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Yui Chul Nam

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach
Fights3