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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Kay Hansen won · SUB R3

Elo1421

Elo1477

Kay HansenvsJinh Yu FreyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · Saturday, June 27, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kay Hansen won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:26

Model Prediction: Kay Hansen wins(55.1%)

Actual result: Kay Hansen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kay Hansen at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kay Hansen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jinh Yu Frey has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kay Hansen

Red Corner

Jinh Yu Frey

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+138

(42%)

1421

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'2"

Height

5'3"

160.02 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kay HansenL3 streak

oldest →

vs Cory McKenna · Nov 20

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 22

vs Piera Rodriguez · Apr 22

latest

Jinh Yu FreyL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ashley Yoder · Jul 21

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 22

KOvs Polyana Viana · Nov 22

vs Elise Reed · Jun 23

vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kay HansenMetricJinh Yu Frey

3.01

Strikes / min

2.97

3.19

Strikes absorbed / min

4.23

51%

Strike defense

52%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

1.02

37%

Takedown defense

90%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kay HansenJinh Yu Frey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kay Hansen(4 fights)Jinh Yu Frey(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -55.5|Blue +55.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kay HansenTargetJinh Yu Frey

By target zone

43% acc · 52%

Head

32% acc · 27%

100% acc · 39%

Body

57% acc · 15%

50% acc · 10%

Leg

88% acc · 58%

By position

40% acc · 52%

Distance

59% acc · 88%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 12%

100% acc · 45%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kay Hansen rounds

even

Jinh Yu Frey rounds

Round 1Jinh Yu Frey edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:28

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Kay Hansen edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control3:37

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jinh Yu Frey edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:26

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 55

Sig Strikes

26 / 46

51.7%

Sig Str %

62%

43 / 67

Total Strikes

27 / 48

2 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

16.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:31

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jinh Yu Frey	15 / 29	16 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Kay Hansen	12 / 28	13 / 29	0 / 3	0
2	Jinh Yu Frey	5 / 10	5 / 10	0 / 0	0
2	Kay Hansen	17 / 21	27 / 31	2 / 4	0
3	Jinh Yu Frey	6 / 7	6 / 7	0 / 0	0
3	Kay Hansen	2 / 6	3 / 7	0 / 4	1

Kay Hansen

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights4

Jinh Yu Frey

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights8