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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jasmine Jasudavicius won · U-DEC R3
Elo1421
Elo1542
Jasmine Jasudavicius editorial illustration

Kay HansenvsJasmine JasudaviciusUFC Prediction Result

UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Saturday, January 22, 2022Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Jasmine Jasudavicius won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Kay Hansen wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kay Hansen at -190 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jasmine Jasudavicius has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jasmine Jasudavicius has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kay Hansen
Red Corner
VS
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
1421
Elo
1542
26
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'7"
160.02 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kay HansenL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Jinh Yu Frey · Jun 20
L
vs Cory McKenna · Nov 20
L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Apr 22
latest
Jasmine Jasudavicius
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Nov 24
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · May 25
L
KOvs Manon Fiorot · Oct 25
W
DECvs Karine Silva · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kay HansenMetricJasmine Jasudavicius
3.01
Strikes / min
3.47
3.19
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
51%
Strike defense
51%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
2.63
37%
Takedown defense
75%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1500Strikes3.0 vs 3.2Takedowns1.8 vs 2.2Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs 0.0
Kay HansenJasmine Jasudavicius

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Kay Hansen(4 fights)Jasmine Jasudavicius(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -121.0|Blue +121.0
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kay HansenTargetJasmine Jasudavicius

By target zone

31
38% acc · 70%
Head
37
42% acc · 74%
9
60% acc · 20%
Body
13
62% acc · 26%
4
80% acc · 9%
Leg
0

By position

41
43% acc · 93%
Distance
27
34% acc · 54%
3
75% acc · 7%
Clinch
8
62% acc · 16%
0
0% acc
Ground
15
83% acc · 30%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kay Hansen rounds
0
even
2
Jasmine Jasudavicius rounds
Round 1Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:59
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 2Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:24
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:43Control
Round 3Kay Hansen edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
44 / 101
Sig Strikes
50 / 110
43.3%
Sig Str %
53.7%
52 / 112
Total Strikes
99 / 165
1 / 7
TDs
2 / 3
16.5%
TD %
66.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
1:23
Ctrl Time
6:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jasmine Jasudavicius18 / 3141 / 551 / 10
1Kay Hansen12 / 3018 / 390 / 40
2Jasmine Jasudavicius18 / 2344 / 531 / 10
2Kay Hansen6 / 138 / 151 / 30
3Jasmine Jasudavicius14 / 5614 / 570 / 10
3Kay Hansen26 / 5826 / 580 / 00

Kay Hansen

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4

Jasmine Jasudavicius

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11