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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Cory McKenna won · U-DEC

Elo1421

Elo1493

Kay HansenvsCory McKennaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, November 14, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cory McKenna won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Kay Hansen wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Cory McKenna wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kay Hansen at -230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kay Hansen threatens submissions; Cory McKenna has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Cory McKenna has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Kay Hansen has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kay Hansen

Red Corner

Cory McKenna

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1421

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'2"

Height

5'3"

160.02 cm

Reach

147.32 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kay HansenL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jinh Yu Frey · Jun 20

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 22

vs Piera Rodriguez · Apr 22

latest

Cory McKennaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elise Reed · Mar 22

SUBvs Miranda Granger · Aug 22

vs Cheyanne Vlismas · Dec 22

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Mar 24

vs Julia Polastri · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kay HansenMetricCory McKenna

3.01

Strikes / min

2.94

3.19

Strikes absorbed / min

3.68

51%

Strike defense

46%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

2.00

37%

Takedown defense

75%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kay HansenCory McKenna

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kay Hansen(4 fights)Cory McKenna(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -72.1|Blue +72.1

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kay HansenTargetCory McKenna

By target zone

53% acc · 70%

Head

41% acc · 98%

100% acc · 22%

Body

83% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

57% acc · 81%

Distance

39% acc · 86%

85% acc · 16%

Clinch

71% acc · 9%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kay Hansen rounds

even

Cory McKenna rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control1:37

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Round 2Kay Hansen edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control0:59

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:28Control

Round 3Kay Hansen edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control2:46

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 110

Sig Strikes

57 / 137

60.7%

Sig Str %

40%

87 / 131

Total Strikes

156 / 246

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:22

Ctrl Time

3:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cory McKenna	29 / 58	54 / 85	0 / 1	0
1	Kay Hansen	29 / 51	33 / 55	0 / 2	0
2	Cory McKenna	18 / 51	50 / 86	0 / 0	0
2	Kay Hansen	25 / 37	26 / 38	1 / 2	1
3	Cory McKenna	10 / 28	52 / 75	0 / 0	0
3	Kay Hansen	13 / 22	28 / 38	1 / 1	1

Kay Hansen

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights4

Cory McKenna

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach58.0"

Fights6