Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kaue Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Kaue Fernandes has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kaue FernandesW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mohammad Yahya · Aug 24W
vs Guram Kutateladze · Mar 25W
KOvs Harry Hardwick · Sep 25 Marc DiakieseL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rafael Alves · Nov 21W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Mar 22W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 22L
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kaue FernandesMetricMarc Diakiese
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.86Δ 2.96 — meaningful gap-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kaue FernandesMarc Diakiese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kaue Fernandes(4 fights)Marc Diakiese(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +31.6|Blue -31.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kaue FernandesTargetMarc Diakiese
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:00
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:33Control
Round 2Marc Diakiese edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:08
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:50Control
Round 3Marc Diakiese edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:19
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
