Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Katsunori Kikuno won · U-DEC R3
Elo1355
Elo1353

Katsunori KikunovsQuinn MulhernUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · Saturday, January 4, 2014Singapore, Singapore

Official fight result

Katsunori Kikuno won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Quinn Mulhern wins(61.4%)

Actual result: Katsunori Kikuno wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Quinn Mulhern at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Katsunori Kikuno has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Katsunori Kikuno has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Quinn Mulhern has a 25cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Katsunori Kikuno
Red Corner
VS
Quinn Mulhern
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1355
Elo
1353
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'3"
167.64 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katsunori KikunoL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · May 14
W
SUBvs Sam Sicilia · Sep 14
L
KOvs Kevin Souza · Mar 15
L
KOvs Diego Brandao · Sep 15
latest
Quinn Mulhern
oldest →
L
KOvs Rick Story · Mar 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katsunori KikunoMetricQuinn Mulhern
2.64
Strikes / min
1.48
2.47
Strikes absorbed / min
2.09
61%
Strike defense
51%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
1.36
76%
Takedown defense
33%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1483Strikes— vs 9.0Takedowns— vs 0.0Sub Atts— vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Katsunori KikunoQuinn Mulhern

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Katsunori Kikuno(5 fights)Quinn Mulhern(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Katsunori KikunoTargetQuinn Mulhern

By target zone

16
42% acc · 70%
Head
11
24% acc · 69%
5
71% acc · 22%
Body
3
25% acc · 19%
2
67% acc · 9%
Leg
2
33% acc · 13%

By position

17
46% acc · 74%
Distance
15
25% acc · 94%
3
50% acc · 13%
Clinch
1
33% acc · 6%
3
60% acc · 13%
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Katsunori Kikuno rounds
1
even
0
Quinn Mulhern rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:40
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Katsunori Kikuno edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control3:07
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Katsunori Kikuno edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control3:35
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
23 / 48
Sig Strikes
16 / 63
48.3%
Sig Str %
22%
73 / 104
Total Strikes
24 / 71
3 / 4
TDs
0 / 9
83%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:22
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Quinn Mulhern11 / 3511 / 350 / 40
1Katsunori Kikuno7 / 1812 / 230 / 00
2Quinn Mulhern3 / 179 / 230 / 30
2Katsunori Kikuno8 / 1428 / 371 / 10
3Quinn Mulhern2 / 114 / 130 / 20
3Katsunori Kikuno8 / 1633 / 442 / 30

Katsunori Kikuno

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5

Quinn Mulhern

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach—
Fights2