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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · U-DEC
Elo1497
Elo1497

Katlyn ChookagianvsViviane AraujoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · Saturday, May 15, 2021Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Viviane Araujo wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viviane Araujo at +107 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Viviane Araujo
Blue Corner
-127
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+107
(48%)
1497
Elo
1497
32
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Oct 20
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Viviane Araujo
oldest →
L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23
L
vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24
W
vs Karine Silva · Nov 24
L
vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricViviane Araujo
Strikes / min
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
4.83
Strike defense
55%
TDs / 15 min
1.72
Takedown defense
75%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1560 vs 1545Strikes4.6 vs 5.1Takedowns0.3 vs 2.1Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.30Form0.2 vs 0.7
Katlyn ChookagianViviane Araujo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +60.0|Blue -60.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights13