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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · U-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1389
Mara Romero Borella

Katlyn ChookagianvsMara Romero BorellaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · Saturday, January 27, 2018Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mara Romero Borella wins(56.8%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mara Romero Borella at +165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mara Romero Borella enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Mara Romero Borella
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
1497
Elo
1389
29
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Mara Romero BorellaL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Taila Santos · Feb 19
L
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Aug 19
L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 20
L
SUBvs Cortney Casey · May 20
L
SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Sep 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricMara Romero Borella
—
Strikes / min
2.54
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.48
—
Strike defense
71%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.83
—
Takedown defense
66%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1513 vs 1516Strikes57.3 vs 3.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form0.4 vs 1.0
Katlyn ChookagianMara Romero Borella

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Mara Romero Borella(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +108.6|Blue -108.6
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Mara Romero Borella

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8