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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Manon Fiorot won · U-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1522
Manon Fiorot

Katlyn ChookagianvsManon FiorotUFC Prediction Result

UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Saturday, October 22, 2022Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Manon Fiorot wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manon Fiorot at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Katlyn Chookagian enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Manon Fiorot
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
1497
Elo
1522
33
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn ChookagianW4 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Oct 20
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
latest
Manon Fiorot
oldest →
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 22
W
vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23
W
vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24
L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25
W
KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricManon Fiorot
—
Strikes / min
5.66
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
—
Strike defense
66%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.05
—
Takedown defense
87%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1604 vs 1561Strikes4.6 vs 6.3Takedowns0.3 vs 1.2Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form0.9 vs 1.0
Katlyn ChookagianManon Fiorot

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901503151515281540← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Manon Fiorot(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -24.6|Blue +24.6
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights9