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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Eye won · S-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1428
Jessica Eye

Katlyn ChookagianvsJessica EyeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 8, 2018Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Jessica Eye won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Katlyn Chookagian wins(65.9%)

Actual result: Jessica Eye wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Katlyn Chookagian at -235 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Eye
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
1497
Elo
1428
29
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Jessica EyeL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20
L
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21
L
vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricJessica Eye
Strikes / min
3.86
Strikes absorbed / min
4.19
Strike defense
55%
TDs / 15 min
0.58
Takedown defense
57%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1547 vs 1481Strikes60.4 vs 48.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.78Form0.8 vs 0.6
Katlyn ChookagianJessica Eye

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Jessica Eye(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +69.0|Blue -69.0
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights15