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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Andrade won · KO/TKO
Elo1497
Elo1484

Katlyn ChookagianvsJessica AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, October 17, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Andrade at -159 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Katlyn Chookagian has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Andrade
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-159
(61%)
1497
Elo
1484
31
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'1"
172.72 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24
L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24
L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25
L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricJessica Andrade
—
Strikes / min
6.37
—
Strikes absorbed / min
5.58
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.10
—
Takedown defense
75%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1558 vs 1568Strikes4.2 vs 6.4Takedowns0.3 vs 3.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.40Form0.4 vs -0.4
Katlyn ChookagianJessica Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Jessica Andrade(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +13.9|Blue -13.9
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30