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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · U-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1499

Katlyn ChookagianvsJennifer MaiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · Saturday, November 2, 2019New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Katlyn Chookagian wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Katlyn Chookagian at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Katlyn Chookagian has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Jennifer Maia
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
1497
Elo
1499
30
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Jennifer Maia
oldest →
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 22
W
vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22
W
vs Casey O'Neill · Mar 23
L
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricJennifer Maia
—
Strikes / min
4.35
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
—
Strike defense
55%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.42
—
Takedown defense
58%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1544 vs 1517Takedowns0.0 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.00Form0.5 vs 0.7
Katlyn ChookagianJennifer Maia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Jennifer Maia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Jennifer Maia

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12