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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · S-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1499
Irene Aldana

Katlyn ChookagianvsIrene AldanaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · Saturday, April 8, 2017Buffalo, New York, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Irene Aldana wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Irene Aldana at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Irene Aldana
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
1497
Elo
1499
28
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Irene Aldana
oldest →
W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21
W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22
L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23
W
vs Karol Rosa · Dec 23
L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricIrene Aldana
—
Strikes / min
5.19
—
Strikes absorbed / min
6.64
—
Strike defense
56%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.15
—
Takedown defense
77%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1498 vs 1483Strikes33.5 vs 108.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs -1.0
Katlyn ChookagianIrene Aldana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Irene Aldana(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Irene Aldana

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14