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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · U-DEC
Elo1497
Elo1455
Cynthia Calvillo

Katlyn ChookagianvsCynthia CalvilloUFC Prediction Result

UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Saturday, November 21, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Cynthia Calvillo wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cynthia Calvillo at -265 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Katlyn Chookagian has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Cynthia Calvillo
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
1497
Elo
1455
31
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Oct 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Cynthia CalvilloL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jun 20
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21
L
KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21
L
vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22
L
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricCynthia Calvillo
—
Strikes / min
4.41
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.12
—
Strike defense
64%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.80
—
Takedown defense
77%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1543 vs 1572Strikes4.2 vs 4.2Takedowns0.3 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 1.30Form-0.0 vs 0.9
Katlyn ChookagianCynthia Calvillo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +42.9|Blue -42.9
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Cynthia Calvillo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12