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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · U-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1496
Antonina Shevchenko

Katlyn ChookagianvsAntonina ShevchenkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · Saturday, May 30, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Katlyn Chookagian wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Katlyn Chookagian at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Antonina Shevchenko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Antonina Shevchenko
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1497
Elo
1496
31
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
W
vs Amanda Ribas · May 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Antonina Shevchenko
oldest →
W
SUBvs Lucie Pudilova · Aug 19
W
KOvs Ariane Lipski · Nov 20
L
SUBvs Andrea Lee · May 21
L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Oct 21
W
vs Cortney Casey · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricAntonina Shevchenko
—
Strikes / min
3.86
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
—
Strike defense
52%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.43
—
Takedown defense
53%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1544 vs 1514Strikes4.1 vs 4.9Takedowns0.0 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.10 vs 1.00Form0.1 vs 0.3
Katlyn ChookagianAntonina Shevchenko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Antonina Shevchenko(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red -189.0|Blue +189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Antonina Shevchenko

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8