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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Katlyn Chookagian won · S-DEC R3
Elo1497
Elo1480

Katlyn ChookagianvsAmanda RibasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · Saturday, May 14, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Katlyn Chookagian won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Amanda Ribas wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Katlyn Chookagian wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Ribas at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Katlyn Chookagian
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Ribas
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1497
Elo
1480
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Katlyn Chookagian
oldest →
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Oct 20
W
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 20
W
vs Viviane Araujo · May 21
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jan 22
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Oct 22
latest
Amanda RibasL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23
W
KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23
L
vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25
L
KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Katlyn ChookagianMetricAmanda Ribas
—
Strikes / min
4.26
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.29
—
Strike defense
60%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.05
—
Takedown defense
82%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1589 vs 1558Strikes4.6 vs 4.6Takedowns0.3 vs 2.1Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.70Form0.8 vs 0.6
Katlyn ChookagianAmanda Ribas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Katlyn Chookagian(10 fights)Amanda Ribas(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +17.4|Blue -17.4
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Katlyn Chookagian

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Amanda Ribas

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights13