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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won · Decision R3
Elo1483
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Elo1358
Heather Jo Clark

Karolina KowalkiewiczvsHeather Jo ClarkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · Sunday, May 8, 2016Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Karolina Kowalkiewicz won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins(61.4%)

Actual result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Karolina Kowalkiewicz at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Red Corner
VS
Heather Jo Clark
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
1483
Elo
1358
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23
W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24
L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24
L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25
latest
Heather Jo Clark
oldest →
W
DECvs Bec Rawlings · Dec 14
L
DECvs Alexa Grasso · Nov 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricHeather Jo Clark
5.54
Strikes / min
—
5.77
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
0.36
TDs / 15 min
—
74%
Takedown defense
—
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1516Strikes66.0 vs 56.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Karolina KowalkiewiczHeather Jo Clark

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Heather Jo Clark(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +125.1|Blue -125.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -372.0|Blue +372.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19

Heather Jo Clark

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights1