Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karol Rosa has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karol Rosa
oldest →L
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25L
DECvs Luana Santos · Jun 26 Lara Procopio
oldest →W
vs Molly McCann · Feb 21L
SUBvs Casey O'Neill · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karol RosaMetricLara Procopio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.29Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Karol RosaLara Procopio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karol Rosa(10 fights)Lara Procopio(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Karol RosaTargetLara Procopio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lara Procopio edged it
Sig. strikes57
Takedowns0
Control0:00
66Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 2Karol Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes59
Takedowns0
Control0:23
54Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Karol Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes55
Takedowns0
Control0:41
Knockdowns1
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
