Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karine Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dione Barbosa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Dione Barbosa has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dione Barbosa has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karine SilvaL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Aug 23W
vs Ariane da Silva · Apr 24L
vs Viviane Araujo · Nov 24L
vs Maycee Barber · Dec 25L
DECvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Apr 26 Dione BarbosaW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Ernesta Kareckaite · May 24L
vs Miranda Maverick · Jul 24W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Apr 25W
DECvs Melissa Gatto · Apr 26W
SUBvs Anna Melisano · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karine SilvaMetricDione Barbosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Karine SilvaDione Barbosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karine Silva(8 fights)Dione Barbosa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -46.7|Blue +46.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Karine SilvaTargetDione Barbosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dione Barbosa edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:24
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:29Control
Round 3Dione Barbosa edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:59
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:05Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
