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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Virna Jandiroba won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1479
Elo1529

Kanako MuratavsVirna JandirobaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · Saturday, June 19, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Virna Jandiroba won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 5:00

Style matchupKanako Murata: WrestlervsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Kanako Murata wins(58.1%)

Actual result: Virna Jandiroba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kanako Murata at +112 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kanako Murata has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Kanako Murata
Red Corner
VS
Virna Jandiroba
Blue Corner
+112
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-139
(58%)
1479
Elo
1529
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'3"
157.48 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kanako Murata
oldest →
W
vs Randa Markos · Nov 20
L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Oct 23
latest
Virna Jandiroba
oldest →
W
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24
W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25
L
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25
W
DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kanako MurataMetricVirna Jandiroba
2.15
Strikes / min
2.27
2.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
53%
Strike defense
55%
3.38
TDs / 15 min
3.13
100%
Takedown defense
72%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1473Strikes2.1 vs 2.6Takedowns2.4 vs 2.5Sub Atts1.20 vs 1.90Form1.0 vs -0.3
Kanako MurataVirna Jandiroba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Kanako Murata(3 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Recent Form
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kanako MurataTargetVirna Jandiroba

By target zone

15
45% acc · 65%
Head
32
44% acc · 89%
5
71% acc · 22%
Body
4
57% acc · 11%
3
75% acc · 13%
Leg
0

By position

12
38% acc · 52%
Distance
35
45% acc · 97%
3
100% acc · 13%
Clinch
1
33% acc · 3%
8
89% acc · 35%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kanako Murata rounds
0
even
1
Virna Jandiroba rounds
Round 1Kanako Murata edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control2:19
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 2Virna Jandiroba edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:15
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
23 / 44
Sig Strikes
36 / 80
52.5%
Sig Str %
44%
26 / 48
Total Strikes
39 / 83
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
2:34
Ctrl Time
0:46

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Virna Jandiroba11 / 2612 / 270 / 01
1Kanako Murata14 / 2117 / 250 / 00
2Virna Jandiroba25 / 5427 / 560 / 00
2Kanako Murata9 / 239 / 230 / 10

Kanako Murata

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3

Virna Jandiroba

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13