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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Eye won · S-DEC R3
Elo1367
Elo1428
Jessica Eye

Kalindra FariavsJessica EyeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Sunday, January 14, 2018St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Eye won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jessica Eye wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Jessica Eye wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Eye at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Jessica Eye has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jessica Eye has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Kalindra Faria (52.9%).
  • Jessica Eye has a 11cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kalindra Faria
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Eye
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
1367
Elo
1428
40
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
157 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kalindra FariaL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · Oct 17
L
SUBvs Joanne Calderwood · Aug 18
latest
Jessica EyeL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20
L
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21
L
vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kalindra FariaMetricJessica Eye
2.23
Strikes / min
3.86
1.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.19
45%
Strike defense
55%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
0.58
20%
Takedown defense
57%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1444Strikes0.0 vs 48.6Takedowns0.0 vs 0.1Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.14Form-1.0 vs -0.9
Kalindra FariaJessica Eye

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Kalindra Faria(3 fights)Jessica Eye(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -61.3|Blue +61.3
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -3.7|Blue +3.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -392.0|Blue +392.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kalindra FariaTargetJessica Eye

By target zone

28
48% acc · 74%
Head
20
48% acc · 80%
6
75% acc · 16%
Body
2
50% acc · 8%
4
100% acc · 11%
Leg
3
100% acc · 12%

By position

18
38% acc · 47%
Distance
15
43% acc · 60%
7
88% acc · 18%
Clinch
3
100% acc · 12%
13
93% acc · 34%
Ground
7
64% acc · 28%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kalindra Faria rounds
0
even
2
Jessica Eye rounds
Round 1Kalindra Faria edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:49
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jessica Eye edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:40Control
Round 3Jessica Eye edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:15
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
38 / 70
Sig Strikes
25 / 49
68%
Sig Str %
59%
52 / 91
Total Strikes
53 / 86
1 / 2
TDs
3 / 4
50%
TD %
66.7%
1
Sub Att
6
0
Rev
0
1:04
Ctrl Time
6:24

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jessica Eye7 / 1420 / 310 / 16
1Kalindra Faria17 / 2821 / 341 / 11
2Jessica Eye5 / 611 / 131 / 10
2Kalindra Faria4 / 47 / 120 / 00
3Jessica Eye13 / 2922 / 422 / 20
3Kalindra Faria17 / 3824 / 450 / 10

Kalindra Faria

StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach
Fights3

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights15