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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tae Hyun Bang won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1368
Elo1491

Kajan JohnsonvsTae Hyun BangUFC Prediction Result

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · Saturday, June 14, 2014Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Tae Hyun Bang won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:01

Model Prediction: Tae Hyun Bang wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Tae Hyun Bang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tae Hyun Bang at +170 American odds

+$170 profit

$270 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Tae Hyun Bang (52.9%).
  • Kajan Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kajan Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Tae Hyun Bang
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1368
Elo
1491
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kajan JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Naoyuki Kotani · Sep 15
W
KOvs Adriano Martins · Sep 17
W
vs Stevie Ray · Mar 18
L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jul 18
L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 18
latest
Tae Hyun Bang
oldest →
L
vs Mairbek Taisumov · Jan 14
L
SUBvs Jon Tuck · May 15
W
vs Leo Kuntz · Nov 15
L
vs Nick Hein · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kajan JohnsonMetricTae Hyun Bang
2.47
Strikes / min
2.72
1.59
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
64%
Strike defense
66%
1.54
TDs / 15 min
0.49
62%
Takedown defense
57%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.88evenly matched on net striking+0.65

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1482Strikes— vs 26.0Takedowns— vs 0.0Sub Atts— vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Kajan JohnsonTae Hyun Bang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Kajan Johnson(7 fights)Tae Hyun Bang(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -123.0|Blue +123.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kajan JohnsonTargetTae Hyun Bang

By target zone

22
28% acc · 76%
Head
32
31% acc · 94%
5
50% acc · 17%
Body
2
50% acc · 6%
2
100% acc · 7%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

26
30% acc · 90%
Distance
29
31% acc · 85%
2
100% acc · 7%
Clinch
0
0% acc
1
33% acc · 3%
Ground
5
50% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Kajan Johnson rounds
0
even
2
Tae Hyun Bang rounds
Round 1Tae Hyun Bang edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control1:03
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Kajan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control0:41
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 3Tae Hyun Bang edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
2
29 / 91
Sig Strikes
34 / 107
35.7%
Sig Str %
30.7%
29 / 91
Total Strikes
40 / 113
4 / 9
TDs
0 / 1
35.3%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
2
1:44
Ctrl Time
1:36

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tae Hyun Bang16 / 4519 / 480 / 10
1Kajan Johnson13 / 5213 / 522 / 50
2Tae Hyun Bang10 / 3513 / 380 / 00
2Kajan Johnson11 / 1911 / 192 / 30
3Tae Hyun Bang8 / 278 / 270 / 00
3Kajan Johnson5 / 205 / 200 / 10

Kajan Johnson

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7

Tae Hyun Bang

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5