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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Kajan Johnson won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1368

Elo1362

Kajan JohnsonvsAdriano MartinsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · Saturday, September 9, 2017Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Kajan Johnson won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:49

Model Prediction: Kajan Johnson wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Kajan Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kajan Johnson at +450 American odds

+$450 profit

$550 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Adriano Martins has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Adriano Martins (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Kajan Johnson

Red Corner

Adriano Martins

Blue Corner

+450

(18%)

Vegas Odds

-600

(86%)

1368

Elo

1362

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kajan JohnsonL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Zhang Lipeng · May 15

vs Naoyuki Kotani · Sep 15

vs Stevie Ray · Mar 18

SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jul 18

vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 18

latest

Adriano Martins

oldest →

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 14

KOvs Juan Puig · Jul 14

vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 15

KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 15

vs Leonardo Santos · Oct 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kajan JohnsonMetricAdriano Martins

2.47

Strikes / min

1.80

1.59

Strikes absorbed / min

2.14

64%

Strike defense

65%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

0.83

62%

Takedown defense

81%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.88Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-0.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kajan JohnsonAdriano Martins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kajan Johnson(7 fights)Adriano Martins(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.8|Blue -5.8

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +378.0|Blue -378.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kajan JohnsonTargetAdriano Martins

By target zone

24% acc · 27%

Head

38% acc · 50%

57% acc · 46%

Body

54% acc · 27%

Leg

80% acc · 50%

By position

39% acc · 92%

Distance

52% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kajan Johnson rounds

even

Adriano Martins rounds

Round 1Kajan Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Kajan Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 63

Sig Strikes

16 / 31

46.7%

Sig Str %

50.7%

26 / 63

Total Strikes

16 / 31

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Adriano Martins	6 / 13	6 / 13	0 / 0	1
1	Kajan Johnson	13 / 25	13 / 25	0 / 0	0
2	Adriano Martins	9 / 16	9 / 16	0 / 0	0
2	Kajan Johnson	8 / 30	8 / 30	0 / 0	0
3	Adriano Martins	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 0	0
3	Kajan Johnson	5 / 8	5 / 8	0 / 0	0

Kajan Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights7

Adriano Martins

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7