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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jamie Moyle won · U-DEC R3

Elo1363

Elo1366

Kailin CurranvsJamie MoyleUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamie Moyle won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKailin Curran: WrestlervsJamie Moyle: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kailin Curran wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Jamie Moyle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kailin Curran at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kailin Curran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jamie Moyle has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Kailin Curran

Red Corner

Jamie Moyle

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1363

Elo

1366

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'1"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kailin CurranL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Chambers · May 15

SUBvs Emily Peters Kagan · Dec 15

SUBvs Felice Herrig · Jul 16

DECvs Alexandra Albu · Jul 17

DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 17

latest

Jamie MoyleL2 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Pereira · Jun 17

vs Emily Whitmire · Jul 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kailin CurranMetricJamie Moyle

3.89

Strikes / min

4.51

4.75

Strikes absorbed / min

4.00

53%

Strike defense

65%

2.00

TDs / 15 min

1.00

61%

Takedown defense

50%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.86Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kailin CurranJamie Moyle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kailin Curran(7 fights)Jamie Moyle(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.5|Blue +3.5

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -47.9|Blue +47.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kailin CurranTargetJamie Moyle

By target zone

27% acc · 64%

Head

47% acc · 51%

72% acc · 28%

Body

76% acc · 30%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

28% acc · 66%

Distance

55% acc · 63%

68% acc · 28%

Clinch

76% acc · 26%

75% acc · 6%

Ground

67% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kailin Curran rounds

even

Jamie Moyle rounds

Round 1Jamie Moyle edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control2:59

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Jamie Moyle edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control2:10

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 3Jamie Moyle edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control2:08

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:42Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 134

Sig Strikes

73 / 121

34.7%

Sig Str %

60.7%

89 / 178

Total Strikes

114 / 175

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 10

—

TD %

30.3%

Sub Att

Rev

7:17

Ctrl Time

1:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jamie Moyle	22 / 39	42 / 64	1 / 3	0
1	Kailin Curran	12 / 38	28 / 54	0 / 0	1
2	Jamie Moyle	26 / 36	37 / 48	1 / 3	0
2	Kailin Curran	16 / 40	24 / 48	0 / 0	0
3	Jamie Moyle	25 / 46	35 / 63	1 / 4	0
3	Kailin Curran	19 / 56	37 / 76	0 / 0	0

Kailin Curran

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7

Jamie Moyle

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights3