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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Kailin Curran won · Submission R2
Elo1363
Elo1356
Emily Peters Kagan

Kailin CurranvsEmily Peters KaganUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Thursday, December 10, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kailin Curran won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:13

Model Prediction: Kailin Curran wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Kailin Curran wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kailin Curran at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kailin Curran enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Kailin Curran threatens submissions; Emily Peters Kagan has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Kailin Curran
Red Corner
VS
Emily Peters Kagan
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
1363
Elo
1356
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kailin CurranL5 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Alex Chambers · May 15
L
SUBvs Felice Herrig · Jul 16
L
vs Jamie Moyle · Dec 16
L
DECvs Alexandra Albu · Jul 17
L
DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 17
latest
Emily Peters Kagan
oldest →
L
DECvs Angela Hill · Dec 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kailin CurranMetricEmily Peters Kagan
3.89
Strikes / min
—
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
—
53%
Strike defense
—
2.00
TDs / 15 min
—
61%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1468 vs 1484Strikes54.5 vs 41.0Takedowns3.5 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Kailin CurranEmily Peters Kagan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Kailin Curran(7 fights)Emily Peters Kagan(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +6.9|Blue -6.9
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red -148.0|Blue +148.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Kailin Curran

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7

Emily Peters Kagan

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights1