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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Alexandra Albu won · Decision R3
Elo1363
Elo1377

Kailin CurranvsAlexandra AlbuUFC Prediction Result

UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · Saturday, July 29, 2017Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Alexandra Albu won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Alexandra Albu wins(76.8%)

Actual result: Alexandra Albu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexandra Albu at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kailin Curran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Kailin Curran threatens submissions; Alexandra Albu has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Alexandra Albu threatens submissions; Kailin Curran has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Kailin Curran
Red Corner
VS
Alexandra Albu
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
1363
Elo
1377
35
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'2"
165.1 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kailin CurranL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Alex Chambers · May 15
W
SUBvs Emily Peters Kagan · Dec 15
L
SUBvs Felice Herrig · Jul 16
L
vs Jamie Moyle · Dec 16
L
DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 17
latest
Alexandra AlbuL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Izabela Badurek · Apr 15
L
SUBvs Emily Whitmire · Feb 19
L
DECvs Loma Lookboonmee · Oct 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kailin CurranMetricAlexandra Albu
3.89
Strikes / min
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
53%
Strike defense
2.00
TDs / 15 min
61%
Takedown defense
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1455 vs 1516Strikes36.4 vs 42.0Takedowns1.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.60 vs 1.00Form-0.7 vs 1.0
Kailin CurranAlexandra Albu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Kailin Curran(7 fights)Alexandra Albu(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.5|Blue +14.5
Recent Form
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red -602.0|Blue +602.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Kailin Curran

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7

Alexandra Albu

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights1