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Featherweight
3 Rounds
TJ Brown won · S-DEC
Elo1400
Kai Kamaka
Elo1480
TJ Brown

Kai KamakavsTJ BrownUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · Saturday, May 1, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

TJ Brown won

S-DEC

Model Prediction: Kai Kamaka wins(56.4%)

Actual result: TJ Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kai Kamaka at -162 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors TJ Brown (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Kai Kamaka
Red Corner
VS
TJ Brown
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+142
(41%)
1400
Elo
1480
26
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kai Kamaka
oldest →
L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Nov 20
latest
TJ BrownL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Charles Rosa · Jan 22
L
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Jun 22
W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Dec 22
L
SUBvs Bill Algeo · Apr 23
L
SUBvs Darren Elkins · Oct 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kai KamakaMetricTJ Brown
—
Strikes / min
3.37
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.89
—
Strike defense
49%
—
TDs / 15 min
3.41
—
Takedown defense
36%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1467Strikes5.6 vs 3.9Takedowns2.7 vs 4.1Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.60Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Kai KamakaTJ Brown

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Kai Kamaka(2 fights)TJ Brown(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -80.8|Blue +80.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Kai Kamaka

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1

TJ Brown

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8