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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Joe Proctor won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1356

Elo1360

Justin SalasvsJoe ProctorUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · Wednesday, July 16, 2014Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Joe Proctor won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:27

Style matchupJustin Salas: WrestlervsJoe Proctor: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Joe Proctor wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Joe Proctor wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joe Proctor at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joe Proctor is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Justin Salas has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Joe Proctor has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Justin Salas (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Justin Salas

Red Corner

Joe Proctor

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1356

Elo

1360

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Justin Salas

oldest →

KOvs Tim Means · Jun 12

vs Aaron Riley · Jul 13

SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Nov 13

KOvs Ben Wall · May 14

KOvs Jason Saggo · Mar 16

latest

Joe ProctorL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cristiano Marcello · Feb 14

SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Dec 14

SUBvs Justin Edwards · Jun 15

KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Dec 15

KOvs Bryan Barberena · Apr 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Justin SalasMetricJoe Proctor

3.42

Strikes / min

3.39

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

68%

Strike defense

59%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

70%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Justin SalasJoe Proctor

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Justin Salas(7 fights)Joe Proctor(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.6|Blue +3.6

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Justin SalasTargetJoe Proctor

By target zone

31% acc · 54%

Head

28% acc · 84%

55% acc · 17%

Body

40% acc · 8%

77% acc · 29%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

34% acc · 71%

Distance

26% acc · 72%

77% acc · 29%

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

Ground

75% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Justin Salas rounds

even

Joe Proctor rounds

Round 1Justin Salas edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Joe Proctor edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:36

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 86

Sig Strikes

25 / 81

40.5%

Sig Str %

31.5%

35 / 86

Total Strikes

29 / 86

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:36

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Joe Proctor	10 / 46	10 / 46	0 / 0
1	Justin Salas	15 / 45	15 / 45	0 / 2
2	Joe Proctor	15 / 35	19 / 40	0 / 0
2	Justin Salas	20 / 41	20 / 41	0 / 2

Justin Salas

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Joe Proctor

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8