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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jussier Formiga won · U-DEC R3
Elo1385
Elo1483
Deiveson Figueiredo

Jussier FormigavsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Saturday, March 23, 2019Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Jussier Formiga won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Jussier Formiga wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Jussier Formiga has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jussier Formiga has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jussier Formiga
Red Corner
VS
Deiveson Figueiredo
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
1385
Elo
1483
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ben Nguyen · Feb 18
W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18
L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19
L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20
L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20
latest
Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Petr Yan · Nov 24
L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25
W
vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25
L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26
L
SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jussier FormigaMetricDeiveson Figueiredo
1.42
Strikes / min
2.63
2.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
64%
Strike defense
49%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
1.61
87%
Takedown defense
57%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1571 vs 1550Strikes15.3 vs 26.3Takedowns1.4 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.50 vs 2.33Form0.8 vs 1.0
Jussier FormigaDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -97.9|Blue +97.9
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jussier FormigaTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

19
44% acc · 73%
Head
6
17% acc · 43%
5
83% acc · 19%
Body
7
64% acc · 50%
2
100% acc · 8%
Leg
1
33% acc · 7%

By position

15
43% acc · 58%
Distance
9
20% acc · 64%
2
100% acc · 8%
Clinch
3
100% acc · 21%
9
64% acc · 35%
Ground
2
100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Jussier Formiga rounds
0
even
0
Deiveson Figueiredo rounds
Round 1Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control1:52
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control3:19
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:29
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
26 / 51
Sig Strikes
14 / 50
50.7%
Sig Str %
29%
51 / 78
Total Strikes
41 / 80
3 / 5
TDs
0 / 2
66.7%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
6:40
Ctrl Time
0:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Deiveson Figueiredo6 / 1710 / 210 / 10
1Jussier Formiga12 / 2218 / 282 / 20
2Deiveson Figueiredo6 / 1424 / 350 / 00
2Jussier Formiga8 / 1824 / 351 / 10
3Deiveson Figueiredo2 / 197 / 240 / 10
3Jussier Formiga6 / 119 / 150 / 20

Jussier Formiga

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20