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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Gregory Rodrigues won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1510

Elo1548

Gregory Rodrigues editorial illustration

JunYong ParkvsGregory RodriguesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Saturday, October 23, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gregory Rodrigues won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:13

Style matchupJunYong Park: Pressure fightervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Gregory Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gregory Rodrigues at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gregory Rodrigues has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

JunYong Park

Red Corner

Gregory Rodrigues

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1510

Elo

1548

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

JunYong Park

oldest →

SUBvs Albert Duraev · Jul 23

vs Andre Muniz · Dec 23

vs Brad Tavares · Oct 24

vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jun 25

vs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 25

latest

Gregory RodriguesW3 streak

oldest →

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25

KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25

vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25

KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

JunYong ParkMetricGregory Rodrigues

4.64

Strikes / min

5.53

3.82

Strikes absorbed / min

4.78

51%

Strike defense

50%

1.69

TDs / 15 min

1.90

54%

Takedown defense

75%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.82evenly matched on net striking+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

JunYong ParkGregory Rodrigues

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

JunYong Park(10 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -38.6|Blue +38.6

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

JunYong ParkTargetGregory Rodrigues

By target zone

49% acc · 89%

Head

73% acc · 78%

Body

94% acc · 22%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

0% acc

By position

51% acc · 96%

Distance

74% acc · 84%

67% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

80% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

JunYong Park rounds

even

Gregory Rodrigues rounds

Round 1Gregory Rodrigues edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:25Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:29

35Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:55Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 109

Sig Strikes

68 / 90

52.5%

Sig Str %

75%

59 / 112

Total Strikes

75 / 98

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 4

—

TD %

66.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:29

Ctrl Time

3:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gregory Rodrigues	33 / 42	39 / 49	1 / 1
1	JunYong Park	18 / 32	20 / 34	0 / 0
2	Gregory Rodrigues	35 / 48	36 / 49	1 / 3
2	JunYong Park	38 / 77	39 / 78	0 / 0

JunYong Park

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Gregory Rodrigues

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights13