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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Andre Muniz won · S-DEC R3

Elo1510

Elo1485

JunYong ParkvsAndre MunizUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Saturday, December 9, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Muniz won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJunYong Park: Pressure fightervsAndre Muniz: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: JunYong Park wins(55.7%)

Actual result: Andre Muniz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JunYong Park at -198 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Muniz enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
JunYong Park has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Muniz (53.5%).
Andre Muniz has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

JunYong Park

Red Corner

Andre Muniz

Blue Corner

-198

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1510

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

JunYong Park

oldest →

SUBvs Denis Tiuliulin · Feb 23

SUBvs Albert Duraev · Jul 23

vs Brad Tavares · Oct 24

vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jun 25

vs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 25

latest

Andre MunizL4 streak

oldest →

vs Uriah Hall · Jul 22

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23

KOvs Paul Craig · Jul 23

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Apr 25

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

JunYong ParkMetricAndre Muniz

4.64

Strikes / min

2.08

3.82

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

51%

Strike defense

51%

1.69

TDs / 15 min

3.98

54%

Takedown defense

35%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.82Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

JunYong ParkAndre Muniz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

JunYong Park(10 fights)Andre Muniz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.9|Blue -24.9

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

JunYong ParkTargetAndre Muniz

By target zone

39% acc · 78%

Head

40% acc · 71%

100% acc · 11%

Body

75% acc · 21%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

44% acc · 41%

Distance

45% acc · 93%

Clinch

46% acc · 59%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

JunYong Park rounds

even

Andre Muniz rounds

Round 1Andre Muniz edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:45

3Sig. strikes

5Takedowns

3:07Control

Round 2Andre Muniz edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:03

9Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

4:16Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control2:10

2Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 60

Sig Strikes

14 / 30

50.3%

Sig Str %

50.3%

52 / 96

Total Strikes

35 / 60

0 / 0

TDs

11 / 14

—

TD %

77.7%

Sub Att

Rev

2:58

Ctrl Time

9:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Muniz	3 / 4	10 / 11	5 / 6
1	JunYong Park	13 / 17	20 / 26	0 / 0
2	Andre Muniz	9 / 16	21 / 37	4 / 4
2	JunYong Park	6 / 12	16 / 24	0 / 0
3	Andre Muniz	2 / 10	4 / 12	2 / 4
3	JunYong Park	8 / 31	16 / 46	0 / 0

JunYong Park

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Andre Muniz

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights10